England U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ENG
2 - 2
CZE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ENG
9 - 0
SMR
91%
7%
2%
|
80 | 19 | 61 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
ENG
3 - 0
FIN
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ENG
5 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
2%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 4
ENG
8%
15%
77%
|
80 | 19 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
4 - 0
SMR
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 0
LTU
69%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 0
WAL
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SMR
1 - 0
WAL
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 5
FIN
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |