England U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
IRQ
0 - 0
ENG
8%
17%
75%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
URU
2 - 3
ENG
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 0
TUN
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 1
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
USA
2 - 4
ENG
46%
24%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 3
ITA
8%
17%
76%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 2
NGA
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ITA
3 - 2
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
ITA
22%
21%
57%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |