Indy Eleven vs Penn FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
NSC
0 - 2
IND
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 3
IND
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
AFC
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
IND
3 - 3
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
NYO
4 - 1
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 2
PNN
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 3
PNN
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PNN
3 - 2
TOR
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
NSC
3 - 1
PNN
68%
21%
12%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PIT
0 - 0
PNN
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |