Indy Eleven vs Edmonton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
IND
2 - 2
NYC
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
OTT
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MIN
5 - 1
IND
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
IND
61%
22%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
EDM
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
EDM
2 - 1
MIN
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EDM
2 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 3
EDM
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MIN
3 - 2
EDM
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |