India vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
GUM
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
OMA
3 - 0
IND
79%
16%
6%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
TKM
2 - 1
IND
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
IND
0 - 3
IRN
11%
23%
66%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
NPL
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NPL
0 - 1
LKA
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BTN
2 - 1
LKA
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LKA
0 - 1
BTN
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 0
LKA
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 1
LKA
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |