Independiente vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
RAC
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
IND
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 4
VEL
34%
28%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
IND
46%
29%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
4 - 0
ARS
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
QUI
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 3
SLO
36%
30%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 1
QUI
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 2
GOD
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |