Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
RAC
1 - 1
IND
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
EST
2 - 1
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
IND
1 - 0
SMA
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 0
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
IND
2 - 1
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
GLP
1 - 0
HUR
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
LAN
1 - 1
GLP
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GLP
0 - 1
NOB
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
GLP
1 - 2
LAN
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
GLP
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |