Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 1
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
SFE
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CDN
0 - 4
IND
19%
27%
54%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
IND
3 - 0
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
VEL
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 2
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 0
VEL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |