Independiente vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
ESP
3 - 1
IND
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
IND
1 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1987 |
INS
1 - 1
IND
46%
25%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
IND
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
RAC
0 - 2
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
RIV
1 - 0
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
RIV
48%
28%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
IND
1 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1987 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARG
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
GLP
0 - 0
RIV
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |