Independiente vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
RIV
1 - 4
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
GRE
4 - 1
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
CEN
3 - 1
IND
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
IND
0 - 2
LAN
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
BAN
0 - 1
IND
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
NOB
1 - 0
BOC
31%
29%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAN
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
FER
1 - 2
BOC
33%
29%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
BOC
1 - 0
PLA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
HUR
1 - 1
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |