Independiente II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
ALD
0 - 1
IND
39%
25%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
GLP
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 0
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
GOC
37%
26%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 0
IND
33%
26%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 2
CAU
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 2
ALD
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
GLP
1 - 1
SAR
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 4
VEL
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
GOC
0 - 0
SAR
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |