Independiente Medellín vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HUI
1 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 3
IND
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
EQU
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ONC
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 2
TOL
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
EQU
2 - 0
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
PER
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
MIL
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 2
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |