Independiente Medellín vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
IND
3 - 0
CUC
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
PER
1 - 2
IND
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 7
IND
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 0
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
61%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 0
TAC
60%
23%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
CCP
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 1
RÑU
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
CCP
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CCP
0 - 1
COR
40%
28%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |