Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
6º
7º
29
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 1
IND
59%
25%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
GIM
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
IND
3 - 1
DPR
40%
30%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
IND
80%
15%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
GIM
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
SPB
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
DPR
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
9DJ
1 - 0
SPB
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
SLP
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |