Independente AP vs Ypiranga AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
ECM
1 - 1
IAP
23%
21%
56%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
IAP
5 - 0
TDC
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 1
ECM
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
2 - 1
IAP
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
ECM
2 - 2
IAP
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
1 - 0
PEN
23%
25%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SPM
1 - 1
YAP
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 0
YAP
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
YAP
2 - 2
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
YAP
0 - 1
GAL
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |