K League 1 Temporada Regular Jor. 15

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD FC analysis

Incheon United Ulsan HD FC
75 ELO 75
-15.6% Tilt 1.9%
701º General ELO ranking 655º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.9%
Incheon United
27.9%
Draw
35.2%
Ulsan HD FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
Incheon United
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.2%
Win probability
Ulsan HD FC
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Incheon United
-11%
+10%
Ulsan HD FC

Points and table prediction

Incheon United
Their league position
Ulsan HD FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
11º
10º
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ulsan HD FC
51
58
53%
Gangwon FC
51
55
23%
Suwon FC
48
55
22.5%
FC Seoul
46
51
29%
Pohang Steelers
44
51
24.5%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
47
51
17.5%
Gwangju FC
37
41
64.5%
Jeju United
35
39
37%
Daejeon Citizen
10º
31
38
25.5%
Incheon United
31
35
10º
29.5%
Daegu FC
11º
30
34
11º
27%
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
12º
30
34
12º
32%
Expected probabilities
Incheon United
Ulsan HD FC
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Incheon United
Ulsan HD FC
Gangwon FC
Daejeon Citizen
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Incheon United
Incheon United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2024
INC
Incheon United
1 - 1
Gwangju FC
GWA
36%
28%
36%
75 75 0 0
18 May. 2024
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
0 - 1
Incheon United
INC
45%
25%
30%
75 75 0 0
11 May. 2024
INC
Incheon United
1 - 2
FC Seoul
FCS
38%
28%
34%
75 75 0 0
05 May. 2024
SAN
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2 - 2
Incheon United
INC
45%
25%
30%
75 75 0 0
01 May. 2024
INC
Incheon United
3 - 0
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
JEO
38%
28%
34%
75 75 0 0

Matches

Ulsan HD FC
Ulsan HD FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2024
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
4 - 1
Daejeon Citizen
DCI
43%
25%
32%
75 75 0 0
19 May. 2024
GAN
Gangwon FC
1 - 0
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
44%
26%
30%
75 75 0 0
15 May. 2024
GWA
Gwangju FC
2 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
42%
26%
32%
75 75 0 0
12 May. 2024
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
2 - 2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
43%
25%
32%
75 75 0 0
04 May. 2024
FCS
FC Seoul
0 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
44%
26%
31%
75 75 0 0
X