Incheon United vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
12º
61
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
GWA
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 1
INC
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
INC
1 - 2
FCS
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
INC
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
INC
3 - 0
JEO
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ULS
4 - 1
DCI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GAN
1 - 0
ULS
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 1
ULS
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ULS
2 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
ULS
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |