IMT Novi Beograd vs Loznica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
3º
2º
31
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAV
0 - 0
NOV
13%
22%
65%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
RSM
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
INI
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RNB
0 - 2
NOV
9%
21%
70%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Loznica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOZ
2 - 5
RAD
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LOZ
0 - 1
VRS
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAV
1 - 3
LOZ
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
LOZ
1 - 0
RSM
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MET
0 - 1
LOZ
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |