Ilukstes NSS vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilukstes NSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
VEN
4 - 1
ILU
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ILU
2 - 5
FKD
18%
24%
59%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FSM
0 - 0
ILU
59%
20%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ILU
2 - 1
FKJ
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
TFK
8 - 0
ILU
8%
15%
77%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | -3 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 0
FCJ
71%
20%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 0
FCD
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FCD
3 - 2
FKS
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 4
ELF
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
7 - 1
FCD
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |