Illueca vs San Lorenzo Flumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
CFB
2 - 1
ICF
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ICF
1 - 0
ATL
56%
23%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SDB
1 - 2
ICF
60%
22%
17%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ICF
1 - 2
CFA
43%
24%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UFC
2 - 1
ICF
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo Flumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
LAA
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
TAR
11%
18%
71%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 4
ZAR
12%
19%
69%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |