Illkirch Graffenstaden vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
13º
13º
48
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
ILL
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ILL
1 - 3
RCE
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 2
ILL
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 4
MEZ
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
STR
5 - 0
ILL
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
TRO
5 - 0
CHA
84%
11%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 3
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
SCH
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RAO
3 - 0
TRO
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TRO
3 - 0
THA
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |