CD Illescas vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
42%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
17º
16º
23
7º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 74 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 65 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 62 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 62 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 55 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 48 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 46 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 44 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 43 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 41 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 39 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 33 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 22 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
84.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 1
ILL
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 1
COL
50%
27%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
ILL
22%
27%
52%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ILL
1 - 0
GET
23%
29%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 1
ILL
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
UBC
46%
28%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAJ
0 - 0
MEL
57%
24%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
YAI
51%
26%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
MEL
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 0
ADA
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |