Illertissen vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ING
0 - 2
ILL
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 4
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
NUR
1 - 1
ILL
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ILL
5 - 2
SCH
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 3
WUR
56%
22%
21%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 3
SEL
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 3
BUC
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 3
BUC
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 2
BAY
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
EIN
2 - 0
BUC
43%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |