Iliria vs Rothrist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
55.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
ILI
84%
11%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ILI
1 - 4
DUL
18%
19%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ILI
1 - 4
SCH
4%
10%
86%
|
13 | 61 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ILI
1 - 6
DIE
9%
14%
77%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
AAR
7 - 1
ILI
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Rothrist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 2
AAR
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
4 - 2
ROT
57%
19%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 3
HON
29%
22%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
OLT
3 - 1
ROT
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 1
SUB
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |