IK Brage vs Jönköpings Södra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
16º
6º
31
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Brage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HEL
2 - 0
IKB
33%
27%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OIF
1 - 0
IKB
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IKB
4 - 0
AFC
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GIF
1 - 2
IKB
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
IKB
3 - 2
SKO
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jönköpings Södra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
JON
0 - 2
GAI
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
JON
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
JON
2 - 2
SKO
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
3 - 1
JON
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
JON
1 - 1
OST
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |