Ideal vs Real Sport Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GDF
2 - 2
IDE
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 0
MER
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
3 - 0
IDE
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
IDE
4 - 0
FOR
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IDE
3 - 2
BMA
12%
21%
68%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
REA
1 - 1
ESA
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ADP
0 - 3
REA
8%
14%
78%
|
51 | 12 | 39 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
RAB
2 - 1
REA
8%
17%
76%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REA
3 - 0
LUS
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
FAB
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |