Icasa vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
4 - 1
ICA
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
TIR
0 - 1
ICA
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 1
ICA
15%
20%
65%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 2
FER
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TIR
1 - 1
HOR
23%
24%
54%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 2
HOR
17%
20%
63%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 4
ITA
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 0
CRA
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |