Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Ibarra vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
UDS
2 - 2
UDI
45%
26%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
UDI
6 - 1
COT
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VSB
2 - 1
UDI
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 0
UDI
30%
26%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 3
TRO
32%
25%
44%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TRO
3 - 4
TEX
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
TRO
10%
20%
70%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
TRO
2 - 0
MER
82%
13%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
BEZ
0 - 5
TRO
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |