ÍA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
6º
5º
34
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 11 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 11 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 8 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 6 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 3 |
5º
|
56% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 1 |
6º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ÍA Akranes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
STJ
3 - 0
IAA
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 0
IAA
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IAA
1 - 0
KAA
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRR
4 - 2
IAA
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IAA
1 - 2
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FH Hafnarfjordur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FHH
0 - 1
BRE
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 0
FHH
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 3
FHH
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FHH
0 - 3
STJ
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FYL
2 - 3
FHH
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |