Hürth vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BWF
2 - 1
HUR
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 1
H05
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
NET
1 - 2
HUR
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
MEE
0 - 2
HUR
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
DIE
5 - 3
HUR
79%
15%
7%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
DUR
3 - 0
BFR
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIA
0 - 2
DUR
48%
21%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SVB
2 - 2
DUR
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 1
WEG
21%
19%
59%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
VIA
0 - 3
DUR
49%
21%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |