Huracán de Balazote vs CD Tarancon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
16º
7º
25
3º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
29 | 65 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 61 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 61 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 53 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 53 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 53 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 52 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 52 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 49 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 48 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 40 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 32 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
31.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 22 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huracán de Balazote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 1
HBA
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HBA
0 - 4
PED
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 2
HBA
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 1
HBA
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HBA
0 - 0
QRE
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Tarancon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TAR
2 - 1
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TAR
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TAR
0 - 1
QRE
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VRU
1 - 1
TAR
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TRJ
2 - 1
TAR
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |