Humble Lions vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
14º
11º
26
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 79 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 78 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 71 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 64 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 63 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 59 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 57 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 53 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 48 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 37 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 28 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
TRI
29%
26%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
LIO
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 1
MPA
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
LIO
6 - 0
LIM
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 8 | 56 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
5 - 1
LIO
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 1
CAV
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 1
ARN
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
CAV
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAV
6 - 0
MOL
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |