Humble Lions vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
11º
11º
15
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
15 | 73 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 73 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 71 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 66 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 64 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 61 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 61 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 55 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 44 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 43 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 36 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 35 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 26 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 44% |
|
Next round
|
4% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
TRI
29%
26%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
LIO
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 1
MPA
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
LIO
6 - 0
LIM
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 8 | 56 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
5 - 1
LIO
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 1
CAV
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 1
ARN
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
CAV
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAV
6 - 0
MOL
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |