Premier League Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Humble Lions vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
LIO
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LIO
4 - 0
TRI
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MAG
0 - 0
LIO
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LIO
2 - 1
JAM
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
LIO
3 - 3
POR
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
LIO
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ARN
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 3
BOY
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
TRI
3 - 0
ARN
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |