Hannoverscher vs Wilhelmshaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+305%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
10º
5º
19
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
28 | 61 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 49 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 42 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 39 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannoverscher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HEE
4 - 2
HSC
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HSC
0 - 2
BOR
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GER
0 - 1
HSC
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ADF
1 - 1
HSC
49%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
4 - 2
LUP
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wilhelmshaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 0
WIL
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 2
LUP
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +4 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VER
3 - 3
WIL
77%
13%
10%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 4
WIL
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 3
SVM
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |