3. NL Croatia Sur round 8

Hrvace vs HNK Zadar analysis

Hrvace HNK Zadar
35 ELO 33
-3.2% Tilt -5.9%
5453º General ELO ranking 4325º
46º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Hrvace
21.7%
Draw
30.4%
HNK Zadar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
Hrvace
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.4%
Win probability
HNK Zadar
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hrvace
+18%
+57%
HNK Zadar

ELO progression

Hrvace
HNK Zadar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hrvace
Hrvace
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2021
USK
NK Uskok Klis
1 - 0
Hrvace
HRV
44%
23%
33%
35 34 1 0
25 Sep. 2021
HRV
Hrvace
2 - 0
NK Jadran LP
JAD
34%
27%
39%
33 40 7 +2
18 Sep. 2021
OTO
NK Otok
1 - 1
Hrvace
HRV
48%
23%
30%
34 32 2 -1
11 Sep. 2021
HRV
Hrvace
2 - 2
Primorac Biograd
PRB
48%
23%
28%
34 34 0 0
08 Sep. 2021
GOS
GOŠK DBK
0 - 0
Hrvace
HRV
40%
25%
36%
34 33 1 0

Matches

HNK Zadar
HNK Zadar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2021
HNK
HNK Zadar
6 - 1
Vodice
VOD
58%
20%
22%
33 29 4 0
26 Sep. 2021
SMR
Sloga Mravince
2 - 0
HNK Zadar
HNK
52%
22%
27%
34 38 4 -1
18 Sep. 2021
HNK
HNK Zadar
0 - 1
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
NKH
44%
22%
34%
36 37 1 -2
11 Sep. 2021
SPL
Split
1 - 1
HNK Zadar
HNK
53%
21%
27%
36 36 0 0
08 Sep. 2021
HNK
HNK Zadar
0 - 1
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
63%
19%
19%
36 31 5 0