Hoyo de Manzanares vs Nuevo Boadilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoyo de Manzanares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PDM
0 - 4
HMA
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
HMA
0 - 4
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
HMA
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
HMA
4 - 3
CER
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LRO
1 - 2
HMA
51%
22%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nuevo Boadilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NBO
0 - 0
VIL
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
NBO
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
NBO
3 - 3
ALC
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 2
NBO
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PDM
2 - 2
NBO
23%
22%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |