MLS Temporada Regular round 34

Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids analysis

Houston Dynamo Colorado Rapids
83 ELO 77
1.4% Tilt -2.1%
207º General ELO ranking 332º
10º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
54%
Houston Dynamo
23.4%
Draw
22.5%
Colorado Rapids

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
Colorado Rapids
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Houston Dynamo
+5%
-15%
Colorado Rapids

Points and table prediction

Houston Dynamo
Their league position
Colorado Rapids
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
25º
10º
27
18º
27º
28º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
28º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cincinnati
69
69
100%
Orlando City
63
63
100%
Columbus Crew
57
57
100%
St. Louis City
56
56
100%
Philadelphia Union
55
55
100%
New England Revolution
55
55
100%
Seattle Sounders
11º
50
53
100%
Los Angeles FC
51
52
100%
Atlanta United
51
51
100%
Houston Dynamo
51
51
10º
100%
Real Salt Lake
10º
50
50
11º
100%
Nashville SC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Vancouver Whitecaps
13º
47
48
13º
100%
FC Dallas
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Sporting Kansas City
20º
41
44
15º
0%
San Jose Earthquakes
15º
44
44
16º
0%
New York RB
16º
43
43
17º
100%
Charlotte FC
18º
43
43
18º
0%
Portland Timbers
17º
43
43
19º
0%
Minnesota United
21º
41
41
20º
0%
New York City
22º
41
41
21º
100%
CF Montréal
19º
41
41
22º
0%
DC United
23º
40
40
23º
100%
Chicago Fire
24º
40
40
24º
100%
Austin FC
25º
39
39
25º
100%
LA Galaxy
26º
36
36
26º
100%
Inter Miami
27º
34
34
27º
100%
Colorado Rapids
28º
27
27
28º
100%
Toronto FC
29º
22
22
29º
100%
Expected probabilities
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2023
MON
CF Montréal
1 - 1
Houston Dynamo
HOD
41%
26%
33%
82 81 1 0
01 Oct. 2023
HOD
Houston Dynamo
0 - 0
FC Dallas
DAL
49%
25%
26%
82 82 0 0
28 Sep. 2023
IMI
Inter Miami
1 - 2
Houston Dynamo
HOD
51%
23%
26%
82 81 1 0
24 Sep. 2023
KCW
Sporting Kansas City
2 - 1
Houston Dynamo
HOD
47%
24%
28%
82 81 1 0
21 Sep. 2023
HOD
Houston Dynamo
4 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
43%
25%
32%
81 82 1 +1

Matches

Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
COR
Colorado Rapids
1 - 0
Austin FC
AUS
43%
26%
31%
77 77 0 0
28 Sep. 2023
COR
Colorado Rapids
2 - 2
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN
29%
26%
45%
77 82 5 0
24 Sep. 2023
POR
Portland Timbers
3 - 2
Colorado Rapids
COR
58%
22%
20%
77 83 6 0
21 Sep. 2023
COR
Colorado Rapids
1 - 2
Seattle Sounders
SES
30%
27%
44%
77 83 6 0
17 Sep. 2023
COR
Colorado Rapids
2 - 1
New England Revolution
NER
26%
25%
49%
76 84 8 +1