Série D Brazil round 10

Horizonte vs Ypiranga PE analysis

Horizonte Ypiranga PE
51 ELO 39
1.9% Tilt 15.4%
6467º General ELO ranking 9614º
271º Country ELO ranking 405º
ELO win probability
69.7%
Horizonte
18.3%
Draw
12%
Ypiranga PE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
Horizonte
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12%
Win probability
Ypiranga PE
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Horizonte
+10%
-8%
Ypiranga PE

ELO progression

Horizonte
Ypiranga PE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horizonte
Horizonte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2012
BAR
Baraunas
0 - 0
Horizonte
HOR
28%
26%
46%
52 47 5 0
05 Aug. 2012
HOR
Horizonte
2 - 0
Petrolina
PET
70%
19%
12%
51 41 10 +1
29 Jul. 2012
CAM
Campinense
1 - 0
Horizonte
HOR
49%
23%
28%
52 53 1 -1
22 Jul. 2012
PET
Petrolina
2 - 2
Horizonte
HOR
19%
22%
59%
52 40 12 0
15 Jul. 2012
HOR
Horizonte
0 - 0
Campinense
CAM
47%
25%
29%
52 53 1 0

Matches

Ypiranga PE
Ypiranga PE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2012
YPI
Ypiranga PE
3 - 0
Petrolina
PET
46%
26%
28%
38 38 0 0
11 Aug. 2012
CAM
Campinense
1 - 1
Ypiranga PE
YPI
75%
16%
9%
38 53 15 0
29 Jul. 2012
YPI
Ypiranga PE
1 - 2
Baraunas
BAR
37%
28%
36%
39 45 6 -1
15 Jul. 2012
BAR
Baraunas
3 - 1
Ypiranga PE
YPI
50%
25%
25%
40 45 5 -1
08 Jul. 2012
YPI
Ypiranga PE
2 - 1
Campinense
CAM
19%
24%
58%
39 53 14 +1