Horizonte vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
HOR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 1
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 1
HOR
27%
23%
50%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 0
QUI
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
BOV
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 2
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |