Hong Kong FC vs North District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6º
8º
8º
2
5º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 50 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 48 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 46 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 45 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 33 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 31 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
7º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 18 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 11 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BIU
1 - 0
HON
60%
19%
21%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 0
HON
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KFC
4 - 0
HON
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
KWL
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
3 - 1
HON
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
North District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WAR
5 - 1
NDT
82%
13%
6%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WAR
4 - 1
NDT
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SDI
2 - 0
NDT
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NDT
0 - 3
WTP
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NDT
2 - 3
KWL
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |