Honduras vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
49.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
JAM
3 - 0
HND
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
HND
2 - 2
CUB
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
HND
4 - 0
CUB
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
SLV
1 - 2
HND
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
GTM
1 - 1
HND
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
VCT
0 - 3
MEX
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 37 | 53 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
FRA
2 - 0
MEX
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
35%
28%
37%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1996 |
IRL
2 - 2
MEX
43%
28%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1996 |
MEX
1 - 0
BOL
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |