Honduras vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
21.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1991 |
CRC
2 - 0
HND
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
HND
3 - 0
PAN
57%
26%
17%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
PAN
2 - 0
HND
39%
28%
32%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
SLV
0 - 0
HND
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
HND
0 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1991 |
GTM
0 - 0
SLV
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1990 |
GTM
0 - 3
SUN
18%
29%
53%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
GTM
0 - 0
USA
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
TTO
2 - 1
GTM
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
GTM
0 - 1
TTO
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |