Honda vs Tochigi Uva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
YSC
0 - 2
HON
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FUJ
0 - 2
HON
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SAG
4 - 0
HON
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
HON
4 - 0
PAR
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 0
HON
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
TOC
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 4
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 0
YOK
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 4
SON
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
YSC
2 - 0
TOC
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |