DFB Pokal 1/64

FC 08 Homburg vs Union Solingen analysis

FC 08 Homburg Union Solingen
63 ELO 58
14.2% Tilt 22.9%
2817º General ELO ranking 31225º
76º Country ELO ranking 1335º
ELO win probability
67%
FC 08 Homburg
16.3%
Draw
16.7%
Union Solingen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
FC 08 Homburg
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
16.7%
Win probability
Union Solingen
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

FC 08 Homburg
Union Solingen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC 08 Homburg
FC 08 Homburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 1975
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
1 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
52%
24%
24%
61 66 5 0
07 Jun. 1975
SVS
Stuttgarter Kickers
2 - 1
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
55%
23%
22%
61 61 0 0
31 May. 1975
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
2 - 2
Greuther Fürth
SGF
66%
21%
13%
61 60 1 0
24 May. 1975
VFR
VfR Mannheim
4 - 2
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
36%
25%
39%
63 50 13 -2
10 May. 1975
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
3 - 3
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
50%
24%
26%
63 67 4 0

Matches

Union Solingen
Union Solingen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 1974
USO
Union Solingen
1 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
23%
24%
54%
60 84 24 0
07 Sep. 1974
USO
Union Solingen
2 - 1
Kickers Offenbach
OFC
22%
19%
59%
58 79 21 +2