Bundesliga round 9

FC 08 Homburg vs Kaiserslautern analysis

FC 08 Homburg Kaiserslautern
72 ELO 77
7% Tilt 10.2%
2803º General ELO ranking 598º
77º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
40.6%
FC 08 Homburg
25.5%
Draw
33.9%
Kaiserslautern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
FC 08 Homburg
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.9%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC 08 Homburg
+3%
+7%
Kaiserslautern

ELO progression

FC 08 Homburg
Kaiserslautern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC 08 Homburg
FC 08 Homburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 1986
HSV
Hamburger SV
3 - 1
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
72%
17%
11%
73 83 10 0
20 Sep. 1986
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
2 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
55%
23%
23%
72 73 1 +1
13 Sep. 1986
KOL
Köln
3 - 0
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
67%
19%
14%
73 79 6 -1
06 Sep. 1986
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
3 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
53%
23%
25%
73 72 1 0
02 Sep. 1986
BVB
B. Dortmund
3 - 0
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
64%
20%
16%
73 76 3 0

Matches

Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 1986
KAI
Kaiserslautern
3 - 2
Waldhof Mannheim
WAL
59%
23%
18%
77 78 1 0
20 Sep. 1986
LEV
B. Leverkusen
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
61%
21%
19%
77 81 4 0
13 Sep. 1986
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
26%
25%
50%
77 89 12 0
06 Sep. 1986
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 2
Kaiserslautern
KAI
46%
25%
30%
77 74 3 0
03 Sep. 1986
KAI
Kaiserslautern
4 - 1
VfL Bochum
RTV
60%
22%
18%
77 75 2 0