FC 08 Homburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
BAY
2 - 3
HOM
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1977 |
HOM
2 - 0
MUN
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1977 |
RVO
3 - 2
HOM
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
OFC
3 - 1
HOM
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
HOM
3 - 1
STU
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
FCN
0 - 4
STU
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1977 |
AUG
1 - 1
FCN
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1977 |
FCN
2 - 0
WAL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
BSV
0 - 2
FCN
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
FCN
1 - 1
DAR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |