Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 3
HOL
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
HEI
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SGD
0 - 0
HOL
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
HSV
26%
24%
49%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
DAR
3 - 1
HOL
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
STP
1 - 1
FCN
43%
25%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 4
SVS
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FCN
3 - 1
DAR
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
HEI
3 - 1
FCN
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |