Holstein Kiel vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
87.8%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.9%
0-5
6.6%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
9.5%
0-6
3.8%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
5.1%
0-7
1.8%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.4%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
14º
18º
17º
36
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 83 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 72 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 64 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 62 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 61 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 57 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 47 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 46 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 45 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 39 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 30 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 30 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
|
17º
|
5 | 21 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 20 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 94% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 6% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
84.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 2
WOL
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HOF
3 - 2
HOL
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AAA
2 - 3
HOL
13%
18%
69%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 3
ASS
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
HOL
56%
22%
21%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 0
SCF
78%
14%
7%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 3
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 0
GCZ
86%
10%
4%
|
99 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
0 - 4
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
99 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 77 | 22 | 0 |