Holstein Kiel vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HOL
21%
25%
53%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
HOL
4 - 2
DAR
44%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 0
HOL
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 2
RTV
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SGF
4 - 1
HOL
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 2
MSV
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 3
KOL
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
KOL
2 - 1
ING
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
SVS
0 - 2
KOL
14%
22%
65%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 5
PAD
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |