Hollenbach vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
51.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
OFF
1 - 1
HOL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 1
SPI
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AST
3 - 0
HOL
32%
22%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 3
BAL
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAH
4 - 2
HOL
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
OBE
2 - 1
SPI
38%
21%
41%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
OBE
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
OBE
2 - 2
PFO
33%
23%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NEC
2 - 1
OBE
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 3
REU
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |