Netherlands U23 vs Nigeria U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
ROU
5 - 1
NED
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1976 |
NED
0 - 3
ROU
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 2
NED
67%
17%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
NED
2 - 3
FRA
56%
20%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1975 |
NED
2 - 1
LUX
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
CHI
4 - 1
NGA
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
NGA
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 3
NGA
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
NGA
3 - 3
HND
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
NGA
3 - 2
ARG
42%
26%
31%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |